As China’s economy continues to
rise and its military spending increases, many political theorists presume that
China will soon surpass the United States as the primary economic and political
“great power.” High GDP and military strength contribute to the formation of
great powers, and they have undoubtedly contributed to China ’s current
position in the international political sphere. However, although China is most
certainly a strong power with a great deal of global influence, there are many reforms
that must occur before it can achieve the status of a truly “great,” hegemonic
power. Forms of hard power, such as economic and military power, are far from
the only types of power that matter when predicting the trajectory of a state
such as China .
One cannot deny that China ’s strong
economy has helped it rise above many other world powers. For example, a high GDP allows China to maintain
a leading position in the international energy production industry through the
maximization of both internal and external natural resources. In recent years, China has
become the world’s top producer of coal, and has become a key player in world
oil markets by acquiring billions of dollars worth of overseas oil and gas
assets. China ’s wealth also
allows for the creation of a large and well-equipped military, which gives China more flexibility when taking political
action as weaker states often submit to China ’s demands in order to avoid a
potentially destructive conflict.
However, a broad scope of influence
is simply not enough to make a state into a great power. Forms of soft power
are extremely significant in establishing a state’s presence – and
subsequently, its influence - on a global scale. In order to become a truly
great power, a state must express an interest in areas other than economic growth, such as social reforms, environmental
protection, and a desire for international collaboration. For example, a state
that focuses on promoting human rights and resolving domestic concerns
will receive more attention, support, and cooperation from other international
political actors. This in turn will effectively increase its global influence in
a beneficial manner and further cement its status as a great power.
The Chinese government has not
followed such a path, as shown by its often-oppressive political decisions. By
focusing almost entirely on GDP growth, the Chinese government has created a
system that ignores the needs of its people for the sake of its economy. While
the Chinese leaders may view the rapid economic growth as a sign of success,
the vulnerability of the Chinese people tells a very different story. Many
Chinese citizens live in areas where the air is so polluted from the coal
factories that they cannot see a few feet ahead of them, and the serious
illnesses that result from such severe pollution have become the norm. Many
citizens, such as those in Hong Kong , feel so
oppressed and controlled by their leaders that protesting seems to be the only
route to political and social reforms.
However, this path is often met
with violence at the hands of government officials who seek to stop the cries
for change. Silencing the voices of its people and censoring their words is not
the way in which China
will reach “Great Power” status. Continuing on a path that violates the civil
liberties and basic rights of the Chinese people will only undermine the
influence that China
has on the global community, despite any rapid economic growth it may
experience. A strong military and an overflowing bank vault will only go so far
if the decisions of China ’s leaders incur rejection and mistrust from the international community
of political actors.
Sources:
I think you make some very interesting points, especially with regard to China's economic growth and how there are other factors that contribute to being a great power. Also I think that the severe pollution problem that China seems to be unwilling or unable to fix acts as a huge hinderance from overtaking the United States. However, having said that, I personally would still consider China to be a Great Power. Its economic growth is unfaltering, a truly impressive feat. Besides the United States is there a state that you would consider more of a Great Power than China?
ReplyDeleteBecause there are so many factors that go into the title of "Great Power," it is very difficult to determine where states fall on the global Great Power spectrum. However, I would say that states within the EU are serious contenders. I'm not sure if the EU itself is viewed as a single entity, but I believe that many states within the EU (such as the UK or Germany) should be viewed as rising great powers due to their large economies, high quality of life, and significant global influence.
ReplyDeleteYou made really good points on how both hard and soft power could potentially help China become a great power or maybe even surpass the US. I did not know that China was an international energy producing industry. I agree completely with you when you meted that in order for China to be one of the best and powerful in the world, it would have to spot ignoring its people and their rights.
ReplyDeleteYou made some solid points and backed them up with sufficient explanations.
I think this blog was very interesting and explored a very cogent question. I'm someone who values soft power, maybe even more than hard power, when evaluating power as a whole. But I do wonder if China continues on the path its on now, will their lack of soft power matter. If you ask some subset of people, they would say China's an up and coming power with the potential to take over the United States as the "Great Power." This is because of, as you stated, their economic and military might. Personally, I think because of China's economic power especially, their is a perception that China has a lot of global influence, which they do in a way. China holds a lot of the US' debt and China's such a staple of the global economy, one could argue that in is a form of influence that is a byproduct of their economic power. This is me just speculating and I understand it's a difficult thing to gauge, but your blog did a great job of exploring it.
ReplyDeleteVery interesting blog! I agree with your argument-- that a true "great power" should maintain a balance between hard and soft power. Although China definitely has significantly less soft power than the U.S. (a great power), your blog makes it seem as though China lacks soft power which is not true. They are a permanent member of the security council in the United Nations. This humanitarian institution gives them a tremendous amount of soft power. I do agree that the Chinese government is very restrictive towards it's citizens, however I do think China holds a good amount of soft power. Although it is definitely not enough to surpass the United States.
ReplyDeleteGood thread everybody!
ReplyDelete